Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.129021 0.148876 0.170502 0.195769 0.224445 0.255940 0.293113
2024-12-22 0.098142 0.124397 0.155477 0.194836 0.243191 0.300493 0.373359
2024-12-29 0.082273 0.113302 0.152815 0.206463 0.276998 0.366112 0.486700
2025-01-05 0.067746 0.100668 0.145468 0.210234 0.300679 0.421576 0.594284
2025-01-12 0.054582 0.087083 0.134125 0.206168 0.312451 0.461924 0.686048
2025-01-19 0.045121 0.076882 0.125534 0.204060 0.325786 0.504936 0.785352
2025-01-26 0.040567 0.073278 0.125954 0.214975 0.359024 0.579489 0.937496
2025-02-02 0.036534 0.069714 0.125699 0.224429 0.390632 0.654262 1.096903
2025-02-09 0.030544 0.061643 0.116667 0.217966 0.395383 0.686994 1.193077
2025-02-16 0.026348 0.056042 0.110955 0.216155 0.407232 0.731671 1.311893
2025-02-23 0.022379 0.050135 0.103745 0.210516 0.411415 0.763394 1.411276
2025-03-02 0.019361 0.045575 0.098340 0.207351 0.419365 0.801829 1.524902
2025-03-09 0.017468 0.043116 0.096813 0.211669 0.442122 0.869387 1.697567
2025-03-16 0.014911 0.038720 0.090695 0.206024 0.445134 0.901318 1.808823
2025-03-23 0.013961 0.037854 0.091898 0.215588 0.479175 0.994214 2.041165
2025-03-30 0.012575 0.035674 0.089889 0.218015 0.498899 1.061357 2.230225
2025-04-06 0.010877 0.032371 0.084818 0.212998 0.502407 1.096844 2.360646
2025-04-13 0.009562 0.029798 0.081050 0.210381 0.510657 1.142367 2.514489
2025-04-20 0.009139 0.029587 0.082994 0.221346 0.549982 1.254965 2.813073
2025-04-27 0.008667 0.029149 0.084296 0.230908 0.587067 1.365825 3.116441
2025-05-04 0.007506 0.026427 0.079275 0.224192 0.585762 1.394448 3.249158
2025-05-11 0.006691 0.024592 0.076319 0.222289 0.595553 1.447913 3.438959
2025-05-18 0.005833 0.022424 0.072092 0.216478 0.595170 1.478557 3.581170